Exit Clock

Closed spells

Everything that already left.

One stone per closed spell, carrying the days it actually stood. Nothing is predicted here. This is the ground the curve is fitted on — and the only part of the tool that can never be wrong.

Counting the stones…

Enough ground to stand on

Closed spells behind the curve.

Spells closed
Median stand days between entering the top 100 and dropping out
Exit rule
Longest stand
Shortest stand

A curve needs graves. Until enough spells have closed, the shape is a guess with a wide band around it.

How long they stood

Tenure, once the spell is over.

    Days stood
    Closed spellsWhere the median sits

    The stones

    Name, and days stood.

    The last call before the fall

    What we said, right at the end.

    The final prediction published before each of these names dropped out, set against the days it turned out to stand in total.